UK commercial property update and outlook
All Property annual total return increased sharply again in December to finish the year effectively at zero. Offices, particularly London City offices, significantly underperformed in 2023 while Industrial total return has surged ahead again, dominating the other sectors over all time horizons. The final quarter of 2023 was likely the bottom of the market and there was the lowest number of investment transactions since Q2 2011. Investor confidence and property returns are set to pick up, but there is limited scope for yield compression.
Q4 2023 commercial property investment
2025 GDP growth forecast
2025 average CPI inflation forecast
End-2025 Bank Rate forecast
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