UK commercial property update and outlook
October 2024
UK commercial property quarterly total return has risen to an annualised rate of over 7% as we approach the end of the year, which marks a definite improvement over the -7.6% and -0.8% annual total returns recorded in 2022 and 2023. The much-anticipated October Budget presented challenges, opportunities and unfinished business for the property sector. The outlook is cautiously positive but increases in the 10-year bond yield over the last seven weeks up to and immediately after the Budget will impact the cost of debt and scope for future inward yield shift.
OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS
All Property quarterly total return, Sept 24
2025 GDP growth forecast
2025 average CPI inflation forecast
End-2025 Bank Rate forecast
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